Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 8.401250 9.852107 11.441594 13.307255 15.431874 17.770723 20.534766
2025-12-14 5.745682 7.635358 9.930653 12.899803 16.612217 21.071945 26.802835
2025-12-21 4.220086 6.214317 8.847186 12.523784 17.462204 23.795570 32.449106
2025-12-28 3.533050 5.659695 8.663288 13.119708 19.448148 27.979058 40.184323
2026-01-04 2.978255 5.147323 8.400577 13.490569 21.073632 31.737598 47.594652
2026-01-11 2.482916 4.611179 7.988024 13.536384 22.170245 34.781510 54.186835
2026-01-18 2.094738 4.163664 7.623596 13.570549 23.198199 37.748583 60.829368
2026-01-25 1.720759 3.662125 7.083152 13.229188 23.568153 39.712524 66.072897
2026-02-01 1.421770 3.234664 6.595069 12.892365 23.875644 41.556791 71.208547
2026-02-08 1.151907 2.805996 6.033197 12.341334 23.743371 42.653939 75.200685
2026-02-15 0.948049 2.468324 5.584529 11.924992 23.776768 43.986697 79.613814
2026-02-22 0.854159 2.350485 5.544893 12.260315 25.157477 47.643902 88.046506
2026-03-01 0.759012 2.222394 5.490729 12.612552 26.699132 51.855394 97.988606
2026-03-08 0.624041 1.967907 5.133805 12.327522 27.048921 54.071071 104.792314
2026-03-15 0.509374 1.733154 4.776057 11.985617 27.243645 56.013840 111.250528
2026-03-22 0.467397 1.686111 4.843460 12.563206 29.315010 61.535537 124.432031
2026-03-29 0.418576 1.605676 4.815311 12.921152 30.965938 66.379572 136.676538
2026-04-05 0.361820 1.483978 4.660811 12.965432 31.958355 70.028668 146.931112
2026-04-12 0.313005 1.372522 4.511451 12.998370 32.922243 73.678644 157.394965
2026-04-19 0.258896 1.223989 4.231335 12.669579 33.051408 75.671534 164.805049
2026-04-26 0.213962 1.091838 3.969381 12.345196 33.149100 77.593009 172.173376
2026-05-03 0.171279 0.950440 3.648132 11.814605 32.707163 78.355920 177.284458
2026-05-10 0.139112 0.838269 3.390858 11.413785 32.522534 79.630556 183.475479